Technologie

Le commerce de l’énergie basé sur la Blockchain n’est-il qu’un rêve ?

On dit que le commerce de l’énergie P2P basé sur la Blockchain révolutionne les marchés de l’énergie. Cependant, malgré ses nombreux avantages, la technologie de la Blockchain présente de sérieux problèmes d’évolutivité et de performance. Ceux-ci devront être triés avant que le commerce P2P basé sur la Blockchain puisse devenir possible à grande échelle.

En novembre, nous avons signalé que la société australienne Power Ledger s’est associée à des institutions locales à Bangkok pour lancer une plateforme d’échange d’énergie renouvelable de P2P (peer-to-peer).

La semaine dernière, Power Ledger a lancé un projet similaire dans la ville côtière australienne de Fremantle. Les habitants de la ville peuvent désormais échanger de l’énergie solaire sur la plate-forme P2P de Power Ledger, basée sur la Blockchain.

Quarante ménages participeront à l’essai. Ils produisent de l’énergie par l’intermédiaire de leurs propres panneaux solaires installés sur les toits et la vendent aux utilisateurs finaux par l’intermédiaire d’un système d’échange de Blockchain.

Le commerce de l’énergie P2P pourrait stimuler le développement des énergies renouvelables

L’idée derrière le commerce de l’énergie P2P est simple. Ceux qui produisent de l’énergie peuvent la vendre directement à l’utilisateur final, sans avoir à la stocker, la diminuer ou l’exporter vers le réseau électrique.

Traditionnellement, la plus grande partie de l’approvisionnement énergétique mondial provient de grandes centrales énergétiques, comme les centrales nucléaires ou les centrales au charbon. Les sociétés qui exploitent ces centrales ont maintenu un monopole sur les réseaux électriques et ont satisfait une grande partie de la demande.

Au contraire, la production d’énergies renouvelables se fait de manière beaucoup plus décentralisée. Les ménages peuvent, par exemple, installer des panneaux solaires sur les toits ou exploiter leurs propres éoliennes.

Mais comment peuvent-ils acheminer l’énergie jusqu’à l’utilisateur final sans devoir passer par l’un des plus grands fournisseurs d’énergie ? C’est là qu’intervient le commerce P2P.

La technologie de la Blockchain pourrait profiter au commerce de l’énergie P2P de plusieurs façons

Un système de commerce de l’énergie P2P pourrait permettre aux petits fournisseurs d’énergie de vendre leur énergie plus efficacement. Les producteurs peuvent fixer leurs propres prix. Ainsi, l’offre et la demande peuvent être mieux adaptées et le mécanisme de fixation des prix sur le marché libre, qui a été en partie détruit par le pseudo-monopole des compagnies énergétiques, pourrait être rétabli.

La technologie de la Blockchain pourrait ainsi jouer un rôle essentiel.

Premièrement, le commerce de l’énergie nécessite l’échange d’énormes quantités de données et de transactions. Les smart contracts basés sur la Blockchain pourraient fournir la standardisation nécessaire pour rendre cela possible.

Deuxièmement, le « trustless trading » pourrait éliminer le besoin de courtiers tiers. Cela réduirait considérablement les coûts de l’énergie renouvelable.

Troisièmement, une transparence et une sécurité accrues réduiront le risque de fraude ou d’inconduite de la part des participants au réseau. Cela pourrait motiver davantage de vendeurs et d’acheteurs à se joindre au réseau.

Les critiques disent que la technologie de la Blockchain n’est pas mûre pour soutenir le commerce de l’énergie

Le concept du commerce de l’énergie P2P basé sur la blockchain semble être la tentative la plus prometteuse pour créer un marché décentralisé et efficace pour les énergies renouvelables. Mais il y a aussi des voix critiques qui remettent en question les capacités de la technologie de la blockchain.

Stephen Woodhouse, de la société britannique Pöyry, déclare : « La blockchain n’est ni particulièrement rentable ni facile à adapter pour supporter des niveaux de transactions massifs. »

Et il a raison, du moins pour l’instant.

Dans le cas du commerce de l’énergie P2P, une blockchain ne devrait traiter que quelques kilowatts de transactions en moins de 15 minutes. Ces transactions ne vaudraient que quelques centimes. Comme le commerce de la blockchain est encore coûteux, il ne vaut peut-être pas la peine de traiter de si petites transactions.

De plus, les blockchains ont des problèmes d’évolutivité. L’année dernière, la blockchain d’Ethereum a été considérablement ralentie en raison de la popularité du jeu CryptoKitties basé sur l’Ethereum, qui avait entraîné une augmentation du nombre de transactions.

En décembre 2017, alors que le Bitcoin était en plein essor, les transactions ont été retardées jusqu’à 16 heures. Pour l’instant, le réseau du Bitcoin ne peut traiter que sept transactions par seconde. Ce n’est pas suffisant pour le commerce à grande échelle de l’énergie P2P, dit Woodhouse.

Des solutions sont en cours d’élaboration….

Le scepticisme est justifié. Avant de pouvoir commercialiser l’énergie P2P à grande échelle via une plate-forme basée sur la Blockchain, nous devrons résoudre des problèmes majeurs d’évolutivité.

La communauté de la Blockchain y travaille déjà. Par exemple, le découpage, qui signifie que chaque nœud ne stocke qu’une partie des données au lieu de l’ensemble des informations, pourrait être un moyen de mettre à l’échelle les réseaux de Blockchain.

La question des coûts fait également l’objet de discussions. Certains partisans de la Blockchain affirment qu’à long terme, le coût par transaction pourrait descendre jusqu’à 1 centime. Nous verrons bien.

Soyons réalistes. La technologie en est encore à ses balbutiements et il est probablement trop tôt pour célébrer la révolution énergétique du P2P. Mais compte tenu des énormes changements positifs que cela pourrait apporter à la façon dont nous produisons, commercialisons et consommons l’énergie, c’est une vision qui mérite d’être défendue.

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